Why optimism bias is sabotaging your security strategy

photo-1601363645678-0cbae97abb2c

We all love a good dose of optimism—it keeps us going, helps us dream big, and gives us the confidence to tackle challenges. But when it comes to IT security, optimism bias can be a sneaky saboteur.

What is optimism bias?
Optimism bias is our brain's tendency to believe that bad things are less likely to happen to us compared to others. It’s why we think, “That phishing scam? It’s not going to fool me,” or, “Our organization isn’t big enough to be targeted.”

While this mindset might be great for your self-esteem, it’s a disaster for risk management.
Your optimism bias lulls you into a false sense of security, making you less likely to prepare for threats or invest in proactive measures.

How optimism bias undermines IT security
Optimism bias shows up in IT security in several ways:

  • “We’re too small to be a target.” Cybercriminals don’t discriminate. Small and medium-sized organizations are just as vulnerable as large enterprises—and often easier targets.
  • “Our tools are good enough.” Overconfidence in existing security measures can prevent you from addressing blind spots or upgrading outdated systems.
  • “It won’t happen to us.” This thinking leads to underfunded security budgets, untested incident response plans, and teams that are unprepared for real-world threats.

How to outsmart optimism bias
Acknowledging optimism bias is the first step to overcoming it.

Here’s how you can turn this brain quirk into an opportunity to strengthen your security posture:

  1. Run regular risk assessments: Use data to evaluate your actual risk landscape. Numbers don’t lie, and they’ll challenge any overconfidence in your current setup.
  2. Share real-world examples: Case studies of similar organizations experiencing breaches can make the risk feel more tangible.
  3. Focus on "when," not "if": Frame discussions around the idea that incidents are inevitable, not hypothetical. This mindset helps shift teams from complacency to proactive preparation.
  4. Invest in training: Build awareness of optimism bias across your organization. Helping your team recognize it in themselves is a game-changer.
  5. Simulate incidents: Running phishing tests or breach simulations creates a safe space for teams to experience threats and see how prepared they truly are.

Embrace reality to build resilience
Optimism bias might be human nature, but in the world of IT security, realism is your best defense.

By recognizing and addressing this bias, you can create a culture that balances confidence with caution—one where risks are acknowledged, and proactive steps are taken to mitigate them.

👉 Want to know more about how biases shape your security decisions? Check out my book Secure by Choice for deeper insights and practical strategies to outsmart your brain’s quirks.

Want to get information on new blogposts and offers on other brainy knowledge?

Sign up for the brainy newsletter !